The World's Foremost Authority Professor Irwin Corey. |
I'm not the kind of guy who worries too
much about the weather. At least I'm not since moving from South
Florida to South Carolina's Upstate. There's just something about
living 200-plus miles from the coast that greatly diminishes the
impact of hurricanes, no matter where they make landfall. “Let them
eat cake,” is my knee-jerk reaction now upon hearing of a tropical
storm turning into a hurricane and plowing toward the coast.
What has me pondering weather is my
freshly completed Dallas trip to shoot segments for BEER2WHISKEY. I
drove away from DFW airport around 11 a.m. on Wednesday, checking in
for my flight home about 2 p.m. on Saturday. During that period I
shot two Fort Worth breweries, two Dallas breweries and one Garland
brewery, in addition to taking all day on Friday to slog the
four-and-a-half hours to Hye, Texas and back to video a B2W episode
with Dan Garrison of Garrison Brothers Distillery. Nearly all of the
600 miles or so I traversed around north and central Texas was in
rain of Biblical severity.
Where it wasn't raining was the
40-or-so miles between Austin and Hye where the fog was so thick you
could have cleared it with a shovel. Compounding the precipitation
and condensation were temperatures in the 30s and 40s. The nasty
weather was simply relentless.
Here's my beef (You knew there was
going to be one, right?). As I prepared to pack the day before my
flight to Dallas, I went the Website of the Weather Channel to check
out the Dallas-area forecast for the week. Silly me.
Weather.com. Sounds like an
authoritative site doesn't it? I mean, it has “weather” in its
URL. It's operated by the Weather Channel, for crying out loud. “The
Weather Channel” would indicate that it specializes in weather,
yes? Perhaps I'm just jumping to the conclusion that when it posts
forecasts, they might possess some degree of reliability. But, that's
just me.
I would love to be able to go back,
snap a screen shot and include it here of Weather.com's 5-day
forecast for Dallas 20 hours before I landed there. They sort of had
the precipitation right; although there were a couple of days where
their guess on its rain probability was down to 20 percent. There was
never a snowflake's chance in hell of it not raining in Dallas last
week. Zero, zip, zilch, nada! Rain is too timid a term for what went
on there Wednesday afternoon through Saturday morning. It was rainageddon. Human
sacrifice, dogs and cats living together...mass hysteria! You get the
picture.
So, I'll give Weather.com a B minus for
its precipitation prognostication, but what's a weather forecast
without predicting some daily high temperatures? Here I would have
done as well asking the 5-year-old girl across the street for her
guess, after, of course, explaining to her what temperature is.
With all the authority of Baghdad Bob,
Weather.com promised afternoon temperatures in the high 60s to low
70s (67 to 71, to be more exact). On Wednesday it was actually 39
degrees. On Thursday it was 41 degrees. And on Friday it was a
relatively balmy 52 degrees. How is it that an outfit specializing in
predicting the weather missed the next day's (20 hours later to be
more precise) by about 30 degrees? 30 degrees!
Where was Professor Irwin Corey when I could have used him?
There's no such thing, really, as an
exact science. But, science is science. Is meteorology a science? I
looked it up. ScienceDaily says it is, along with just about every
other Website. Well, apparently not.
College campus visitor: “Hey, excuse
me. Can you point me toward the Meteorology Department?”
Helpful student: “Sure, it's right
there between the Astrology and Palm Reading departments.”
As many times as I've been burned by
Weather.com under similar circumstances, it's prediction for Dallas
temps didn't strike me as ridiculously optimistic. I've spent a lot
of time in Dallas. It gets cold, but this time of year afternoon
temperatures in the high 60s to low 70s aren't out of the norm. I
packed accordingly. In the words of Bugs Bunny, “What a maroon.”
Fortunately, I planned on wearing
long-sleeved, collared shirts for the video shoots and packed those.
I also always have a wind breaker/rain jacket in my suitcase. I
wasn't left completely at the mercy of the elements and Weather.com's
lackluster experts. But, damn close.
Next time I'll consult the Psychic
Channel. At least in addition to a Hail Mary forecast I may also get some idea of when I'll meet the
woman of my dreams.
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